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implications for forecast efficiency and the stock market. We find that the two sets of forecasts strongly covary over the 1984 to … aggregate earnings, the converse is not true. Additional tests suggest that analysts underreact to economists' negative forecast … revisions (i.e., aggregate earnings forecast errors are predictably more negative following economists' downward forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096055
significant government ownership issued relatively less pessimistic (or more optimistic) earnings forecasts, earnings-forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011931362
I use controlled experiments to investigate the joint effects of forecast precision and forecast uncertainty on … investor judgments. I find that forecast precision moderates the effects of forecast uncertainty on investors’ forecast … reliability judgments such that the effects of forecast uncertainty on investors’ judgments of forecast reliability are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238623
I investigate the dynamics of analyst forecast errors relative to economic policy uncertainty and find a significant … positive relation between economic policy uncertainty and analyst forecast errors. A doubling of economic policy uncertainty is … associated with a 4.29 percentage points increase in earnings (EPS) forecast errors, and the volatility and dispersion in analyst …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868071
Prior research finds that investors have difficulty pricing corporate innovation. This paper investigates the role of long-term growth forecasting financial analysts in the efficiency of stock prices and consensus sell-side analyst forecasts, with respect to information about firms' innovative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855092
we expect to be associated with the prevalence of the analyst walk-down forecast pattern. Based on a large sample of 50 … forecast bias involves various forces including a country's institutional infrastructure, and firm and analyst characteristics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943482
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