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I investigate the dynamics of analyst forecast errors relative to economic policy uncertainty and find a significant … positive relation between economic policy uncertainty and analyst forecast errors. A doubling of economic policy uncertainty is … associated with a 4.29 percentage points increase in earnings (EPS) forecast errors, and the volatility and dispersion in analyst …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868071
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987861
This paper investigates the relationships among cross-sectional stock returns and analysts' forecast revisions …, forecast dispersion and momentum. Market rewards the strategy in pursuit of revision up and away from revision down by 22 …-2015 periods. Revision up and revision down betas account for most of the momentum strategy and over half of forecast dispersion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955959
We study the recent Crimean Crisis and the sequence of outcomes that led to the intervention by the Russian Army, which directly affected equity prices in Russia, to investigate how informed traders may have used their advantage to trade prior to the moment markets fell. We compute the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935657
indicate that cash returns can be more accurately forecasted, for all forecast horizons, when forecast specifications contain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070030
we expect to be associated with the prevalence of the analyst walk-down forecast pattern. Based on a large sample of 50 … forecast bias involves various forces including a country's institutional infrastructure, and firm and analyst characteristics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943482
indicate that cash returns can be more accurately forecasted, for all forecast horizons, when forecast specifications contain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004481
significant government ownership issued relatively less pessimistic (or more optimistic) earnings forecasts, earnings-forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011931362
This paper outlines a method to forecast FX spot rates. The data set consists of the Bloomberg FX spot rates for … returns in all three FX spot rates. The use of an out-sample to test the applicability of the AR(1) forecast supplements the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859939
We find that 30-minute changes in bond yields around scheduled Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcements are predictable with the pre-FOMC Blue Chip professionals’ revisions in GDP growth forecasts. A positive pre-FOMC GDP growth revision predicts a contractionary policy news shock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388387