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Export-output growth nexus using threshold VAR and VEC models : empirical evidence from Thailand

Arisara Romyen; Liu, Jianxu; Songsak Sriboonchitta - In: Economies : open access journal 7 (2019) 2/60, pp. 1-16

This paper explores the relationship between export, import, and output for Thailand over the period from 1990 to 2017. The threshold vector autoregressive (VAR) and threshold vector error correction (VEC) models were applied. The empirical evidence confirms that the export-led growth hypothesis...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012021578

Macroeconomics, nonlinearities, and the business cycle

Reif, Magnus - 2019

Im Zentrum dieser Dissertation steht das Beschreiben und Erklären von Konjunkturdynamiken. Motiviert durch den außerordentlich starken wirtschaftlichen Einbruch in 2008/2009 betont die Arbeit dabei die Wichtigkeit der Nutzung von nichtlinearen Modellansätzen. Die Dissertation kann als Beitrag...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154125

Forecasting UK GDP growth and inflation under structural change : a comparison of models with time-varying parameters

Barnett, Alina; Mumtaz, Haroon; Theodoridis, Konstantinos - In: International journal of forecasting 30 (2013) 1, pp. 129-143

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010247002

Forecasting with vector autoregressive models of data vintages : US output growth and inflation

Clements, Michael P.; Galvão, Ana Beatriz C. - In: International journal of forecasting 29 (2013) 4, pp. 698-714

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010221301

Predictive performance of mixed-frequency nowcasting and forecasting models : (with application to Philippine inflation and GDP growth)

Mariano, Roberto S.; Özmucur, Süleyman - 2020 - Revised August 16, 2020

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299273

Estimating and forecasting the impact of inflation on economic growth in Nigeria using threshold analysis

Okoroafor, David O. K.; Adeniji, Sesan O.; Olasehinde, … - In: CBN journal of applied statistics 9 (2018) 1, pp. 1-22

This study examined the causal relationship between inflation and economic growth as well as estimating threshold and … forecasting of inflation in Nigeria for the period of 1961 { 2016. The study employed Granger causality test, Au- toregressive … (VAR) models. Granger causality test result showed that inflation does not granger cause economic growth and neither does …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011922677