This research analyzes the relationships between the market return after each Election Day and economic performance under each president's administration. The analysis shows that the after-election market movement has been more and more accurate in reflecting the future GDP growth and the future...

In this paper we study the link between elections, fiscal policy and economic growth/fluctuations. The set-up is a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of growth and endogenously chosen fiscal policy, in which two political parties can alternate in power. The party in office chooses...