Abstract: This paper is motivated by the lack of any obvious relationship between aggregate poverty and unemployment in Great Britain. We derive a framework based on individuals' risks of unemployment and poverty, and how these vary over the economic cycle. Analysing the British Household Panel...

1. Introduction : the world economy in historical perspective -- 2. Economic growth and development : a very long-run view -- 3. Growth theories : old and new -- 4. Managing aggregate economic instability : from Keynes to Lucas -- 5. International economic integration in the Second Global Age.

With a strong recovery from the global crisis, the Philippines' policy focus will shift again to a long-term development agenda. Despite favorable initial conditions, the Philippines' long-term growth performance has been disappointing. Over the decades, the economy has suffered from high...