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China is well-placed to avoid the so-called “middle-income trap” and to continue to converge towards the more advanced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010231008
This study aims to examine the dynamic relationship between foreign direct investments (FDI) and economic growth, using the Structural Vector Autoregressive model, in the period 2007-2014. The results of the econometric model show that the trajectory of FDI has its own origins, with reduced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011797096
This study examines the dynamic interactions among foreign direct investment (FDI), economic growth (GDPG), and real exchange rate (RER) in Ghana using time series data over the period 1996 to 2018, and two econometric models: a trivariate VAR and the ARDL bound test. The results reveal that no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500390
We document an inverse relation between stock-bond correlations and correlations of growth and inflation. We find that rising inflation uncertainty lowers stock prices but can either lower or raise nominal bond prices depending on whether inflation is counter- or procyclical. We show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009684165
The recent macro-finance yield curve literature does not agree neither about term premia empirical properties nor about the importance or even the direction of its relationship with future economic activity. This paper proposes a two-step approach to handle both problems. First, in a VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132933
area (EA), Japan (JP), China (CH), and the rest of the world (RW). The model includes investment in research and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941766
This paper addresses the fifty-year decline in growth for the U.S. and other advanced economies. The paper develops a growth model based upon an economy's capital accounts and illustrates how customary growth factors such as labor and total factor productivity are embedded within investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827044
, which could be a harbinger of secular stagnation if the real rate declines. Outcomes of VAR models for Japan, Germany and … the US show that a fall in the real rate indeed affects the natural rate. This causality is significant for Japan …, borderline significant for Germany and not significant for the US. The outcomes for Japan confirm that a prolonged period of low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045212
The widespread emergence of intangible technologies in recent decades may have significantly hurt output growth—even when these technologies replaced considerably less productive tangible technologies—because of low interest rates. After a shift toward intangible capital in production, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934731
Laubach and Williams (2003) employ a Kalman filter approach to jointly estimate the neutral real federal funds rate and trend output growth using an IS relationship and an output gap based inflation equation. They find a positive link between these two variables, but also much error surrounding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012707817