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We analyse the decline in output volatility in Germany. A lower level of variance in an autoregressive model of output growth can be either due to a change in the structure of the economy (a change in the propagation mechanism) or a reduced error term variance (reduced impulses). In Germany the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274489
While it is painfully clear that the 'ever closer' monetary and financial union in the EU has run into serious trouble there has been very little study of the degree to which the countries have become similar or different in their economic growth dynamics. This paper therefore goes beyond the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071549
This work brings together two distinct pieces of evidence concerning, at the macro level, international distributions of incomes and their dynamics, and, at the micro level, the size distributions of firms and the properties of their growth rates. First, our empirical analysis provides a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328462
This work brings together two distinct pieces of evidence concerning, at macro level, international distributions of incomes and their dynamics, and, at micro level, the size distributions of firms and the properties of their growth rates. Moreover, we take into the picture an intermediate level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328510
This work brings together two distinct pieces of evidence concerning, at the macro level, international distributions of incomes and their dynamics, and, at the micro level, the size distributions of firms and the properties of their growth rates. First, our empirical analysis provides a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003744955
This work brings together two distinct pieces of evidence concerning, at macro level, international distributions of incomes and their dynamics, and, at micro level, the size distributions of firms and the properties of their growth rates. Moreover, we take into the picture an intermediate level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003211748
Using a model of deterministic structural change, we revisit several topics in inflation dynamics explored previously using stochastic, time - varying parameter models. We document significant reductions in inflation persistence and predictability. We estimate that changes in the volatility of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122034
Purpose Our paper studies a central issue with a long history in economics: the relationship between population and economic growth. We analyze the joint dynamics of economic and demographic growth in 111 countries during the period 1960-2019. Design/methodology/approach Using the concept of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014581367
This research introduces an innovative GDP nowcasting strategy tailored for developing countries, specifically addressing challenges related to limited data timeliness. The study centers on Bolivia, where the official monthly indicator of economic growth is released with a substantial delay of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015078275
The aim of this study is to investigate the extent to which the dispersion of real GDP growth rates has changed over the past few years and whether the synchronisation of business cycles has increased among the euro area countries. The study is divided into two main parts. The f irst focuses on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606197