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We develop a model which shows that wages, prices and real income should grow faster in countries with low increase in their labour force. If not, other countries experience growing unemployment and/or trade deficit. This result is applied to the case of Germany, which has displayed a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012255659
We analyze the effects of declining population growth on automation. A simple theoretical model of capital accumulation predicts that countries with lower population growth introduce automation technologies earlier. We test the theoretical prediction on panel data for 60 countries over the time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011639365
We structurally estimate a two-sector Schumpeterian growth model with endogenous population and finite land reserves to study the long-run evolution of global population, technological progress and the demand for food. The estimated model closely replicates trajectories for world population,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011478553
Population growth has two potentially counteracting effects on pollution emissions:(i) more people implies more production and thereby more emissions, and (ii) more people implies a larger research capacity which might reduce the emission intensity of production, depending on the direction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859107
Two of the main forces driving European emigration in the late nineteenth century were real wage gaps between sending and receiving regions and demographic booms in the low-wage sending regions (directly augmenting the supply of potential movers as well as indirectly making already-measured...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321035
We develop a model which shows that wages, prices and real income should grow faster in countries with low increase in their labour force. If not, other countries experience growing unemployment and/or trade deficit. This result is applied to the case of Germany, which has displayed a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252383
How much will the global population expand, can all these extra mouths be fed, and what is the role in this story of economic growth? We structurally estimate a two-sector Schumpeterian growth model with endogenous population and finite land reserves to study the long-run evolution of global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621641
In this paper we investigate the relation between population, real wages and urbanization in the Italian economy during the period 1320-1870. In this period the prevailing conditions were those of a poor, mainly agricultural economy with limited human capital and rudimentary technology. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223718
This study examines the impact of population growth on the economic growth of African countries using panel data approach from 1980 -2015. The impact of population growth on economic growth is still largely controversial at national and regional levels. The study used annual secondary data of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014108281
We develop a novel method for assessing the effect of constraints imposed by spatially-fixed natural resources on aggregate economic output. We apply it to estimate and compare the projected effects of climate change and population growth over the course of the 21st century, by country and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486236