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Immigration, Economic Growth and Unemployment in Greece : An Application of the ARDL Bounds Testing Approach to Cointegration
Tzougas, John - 2013
This study aims at investigating the nature of the causal relationship between immigration and two macroeconomic indicators, GDP per capita and unemployment, in Greece using annual data spanning the period between 1980 and 2007. Procedures are used to endogenously identify structural breaks in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078711
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Sources of Economic Growth in Iran : A Cointegration Analysis in the Presence of Structural Breaks, 1960-2003
Pahlavani, Mosayeb - 2008
Luetkephol (2000) cointegration approach is then employed to determine the long-run drivers of economic growth. This … cointegration technique accommodates potential structural breaks that could undermine the existence of a long-run relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014215537
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Early estimates of euro area real GDP growth: a bottom up approach from the production side
Hahn, Elke; Skudelny, Frauke - 2008
This paper derives forecasts for euro area real GDP growth based on a bottom up approach from the production side. That is, GDP is forecast via the forecasts of value added across the different branches of activity, which is quite new in the literature. Linear regression models in the form of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605021
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Early estimates of euro area real GDP growth : a bottom up approach from the production side
Hahn, Elke; Skudelny, Frauke - 2008
This paper derives forecasts for euro area real GDP growth based on a bottom up approach from the production side. That is, GDP is forecast via the forecasts of value added across the different branches of activity, which is quite new in the literature. Linear regression models in the form of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003825975
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Identification of Slowdowns and Accelerations for the Euro Area Economy
Ferrara, Laurent - 2010
In addition to quantitative assessment of economic growth using econometric models, business cycle analyses have been proved to be helpful to practitioners in order to assess current economic conditions or to anticipate upcoming fluctuations. In this paper, we focus on the acceleration cycle in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138813
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The Link between Output Growth and Output Volatility in Five Crisis-Affected Asian Countries
Jiranyakul, Komain - 2011
This article tests the Black's hypothesis in five crisis-affected Asian countries (India, Japan, Malaysia, South Korea, and Thailand). The hypothesis posits that economies face a positive relationship between output growth and output volatility. Using monthly data of the industrial production...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125767
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Inflation Uncertainty, Output Growth Uncertainty and Macroeconomic Performance Comparing Alternative Exchange Rate Regimes in Eastern Europe
Khan, Muhammad - 2013
In the late 90's, after severe financial and economic crisis, accompanied by inflation and exchange rate instability, Eastern Europe emerged into two groups of countries with radically contrasting monetary regimes (Currency Boards and Inflation targeting). The task of our study is to compare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084532
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Evaluating Predictive Densities of U.S. Output Growth and Inflation in a Large Macroeconomic Data Set
Rossi, Barbara - 2013
We evaluate conditional predictive densities for U.S. output growth and inflation using a number of commonly used forecasting models that rely on a large number of macroeconomic predictors. More specifically, we evaluate how well conditional predictive densities based on the commonly used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089933
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Financial Development, Trade and Growth Triangle : The Case of India
Katircioglu, Salih Turan - 2008
Purpose - This paper aims to investigate the possible co-integration and the direction of causality between financial …-2004 period have been used to investigate co-integration and Granger causality tests between financial development, international … is the first of its kind which investigates the possible co-integration and the direction of causality between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772879
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Early Estimates of Euro Area Real GDP Growth : A Bottom Up Approach from the Production Side
Hahn, Elke - 2008
This paper derives forecasts for euro area real GDP growth based on a bottom up approach from the production side. That is, GDP is forecast via the forecasts of value added across the different branches of activity, which is quite new in the literature. Linear regression models in the form of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012768380