The Chinese government has been hesitant to revalue the yuan out of concern over the negative impact revaluation would have on the domestic economy. To maintain a stable exchange rate, however, the authorities have had no choice but to tolerate large balance of payment surpluses and a rapid...

This paper studies large reductions in current account deficits and exchange rate depreciations in low- and middle-income countries. It examines which factors help predict the occurrence of a reversal or a currency crisis, and how these events affect macroeconomic performance. Both domestic...