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Emerging Markets Resilience and Growth amid Global Turmoil provides an excellent contribution to the literature. The book covers a variety of important topics on emerging market economies and offers invaluable information for a wide range of audience; from academics to policy makers as well as...
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We present a statistical model which can be employed to monitor the time evolution of the COVID-19 contagion curve, and of the associated reproduction rate R0. The model is a Poisson autoregression of the daily new observed cases and can, differently from classical exponential growth models,...
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We develop a rational expectations model of financial bubbles and study ways in which a generic risk-return interplay is incorporated into prices. We retain the interpretation of the leading Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette model, namely, that the price must rise prior to a crash in order to compensate...
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