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Inevitable population aging and slower population growth will affect the economies of all nations in ways influenced by cultural values, institutional arrangements, and economic incentives. One outcome will be a tendency toward increased capital intensity, higher wages, and lower returns on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023480
This paper was prepared in support of Japan’s G20 Presidency. It takes stock of ongoing and projected population ageing across G20 economies and its far-reaching implications for economic growth, productivity, inequality within and between generations and the sustainability of public finances....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012136129
In this paper we examine the sustainability of euro area public finances against thebackdrop of population ageing. We critically assess the widely used projections of theWorking Group on Ageing Populations (AWG) of the EU's Economic PolicyCommittee and argue that ageing costs may be higher than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866241
We assess quantitatively the effect of exogenous reductions in fertility on output per capita. Our simulation model allows for effects that run through schooling, the size and age structure of the population, capital accumulation, parental time input into child-rearing, and crowding of fixed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287727
As its workforce ages and major economies shift towards producing higher value-added goods and services, New Zealand will face increasing challenges to remain globally competitive and maintain high living standards. Future growth will need to come increasingly from productivity gains, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009769652
This paper takes a global, long-run perspective on the recent debate about secular stagnation, which has so far mainly focused on the short term. The analysis is motivated by observing the interplay between the economic and demographic transition that has occurred in the developed world over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011537253
We assess quantitatively the effect of exogenous reductions in fertility on output per capita. Our simulation model allows for effects that run through schooling, the size and age structure of the population, capital accumulation, parental time input into child-rearing, and crowding of fixed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009299560
As an economy with a population of 23 million, Taipei,China is enjoying the demographic dividend of economic growth resulting from a shift in the population age structure, but an increasingly aged population could be bad for the economy. As an international comparison, its population is aging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237821
Will an aging population lower economic growth? Economists are generally concerned that the increase in life expectancy could lower economic growth, however, theory does not make a prediction. As life expectancy increases, so should household savings, which results in more physical capital per...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012099375
As an economy with a population of 23 million, Taipei,China is enjoying the demographic dividend of economic growth resulting from a shift in the population age structure, but an increasingly aged population could be bad for the economy. As an international comparison, its population is aging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012490538