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The RF Ministry of Economic Development presented three scenarios in its socioeconomic development forecast for 2016, which envisaged that the GDP decline trajectory would hit its lowest point in 2015 (-3.9%), and the rate of GDP growth would be fluctuating somewhere between (-1.0) and 2.3% in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009638
. China has followed a different highway construction strategy and has experienced more significant convergence across regions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902762
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010371981
During the Great Moderation, macroeconomic volatility declined while firm markups increased. We document a causal … relationship between volatility and markups due to tacit collusion. We exploit the legalisation of interstate banking as an … 19 percentage point increase in aggregate markups. The effect is due to large firms and firms operating in non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254341
The integration of China into the global economy is one of the most spectacular events in economic history. This paper … investigates to what extent this process affects output growth and inflation in the advanced countries. A GVAR model is specified … to explore interdependencies between business cycles in China and industrial countries, including the US, the euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286628
The integration of China into the global economy is one of the most spectacular events in economic history. This paper … investigates to what extent this process affects output growth and inflation in the advanced countries. A GVAR model is specified … to explore interdependencies between business cycles in China and industrial countries, including the US, the euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009515006
framework we examine the twelve potential intertemporal relationships between inflation, growth and their respective … uncertainties using US data. We find that high inflation is detrimental to output growth both directly and indirectly via the … nominal uncertainty. Output growth boosts inflation but mainly indirectly through a reduction in real uncertainty. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422216
framework we examine the twelve potential intertemporal relationships between inflation, growth and their respective … uncertainties using US data. We find that high inflation is detrimental to output growth both directly and indirectly via the … nominal uncertainty. Output growth boosts inflation but mainly indirectly through a reduction in real uncertainty. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008758143
framework we examine the twelve potential intertemporal relationships between inflation, growth and their respective … uncertainties using US data. We find that high inflation is detrimental to output growth both directly and indirectly via the … nominal uncertainty. Output growth boosts inflation but mainly indirectly through a reduction in real uncertainty. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068979
the PC and explain the evolution of inflation and unemployment in the US from 1970 to 2006. Since our empirical … and inflation, while the monetary expansion was quite ineffective and led mainly to higher inflation. Finally, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158034