Showing 1 - 10 of 16,238
This paper connects two salient economic features: (i) Fiscal shocks have asymmetric effects across business cycle phases (Gechert et al., 2019); (ii) Okun's coefficient is time varying and may be unstable. The intertwined dynamic behavior of fiscal shocks and unemployment-output trade-offs are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012054782
of volatility, any variable that influences innovation directly affects volatility and growth. This joint endogeneity is … illustrated by working out the effects through which economies with different tax levels differ in their volatility and growth … process. We obtain analytical measures of macro volatility based on cyclical output and on output growth rates for plausible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014204793
Identifying fiscal multipliers is usually constrained by the absence of a counterfactual scenario. Our new data set allows overcoming this problem by making use of the fact that recommendations under the EU's excessive deficit procedure (EDP) provide both a baseline no-policy-change scenario and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856496
This paper connects two salient economic features: (i) Fiscal shocks have asymmetric effects across business cycle phases (Gechert et al., 2019); (ii) Okun's coefficient is time varying and may be unstable. The intertwined dynamic behavior of fiscal shocks and unemployment-output trade-offs are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864881
Policy reforms aimed at boosting long-run growth often have side effects – positive or negative – on an economy’s vulnerability to shocks and their propagation. Macroeconomic shocks as severe and protracted as those since 2007 warrant a reconsideration of the role growth-promoting policies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374493
This paper analyses the effects in terms of size and volatility of government revenue and spending on growth in OECD … taxes (size and volatility); ii) social contributions (size and volatility); iii) government consumption (size and … volatility); iv) subsidies (size); and v) government investment (volatility) have a sizeable, negative and statistically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316642
This paper analyses the effects in terms of size and volatility of government revenue and spending on growth in OECD … taxes (size and volatility); ii) social contributions (size and volatility); iii) government consumption (size and … volatility); iv) subsidies (size); and v) government investment (volatility) have a sizeable, negative and statistically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014189660
paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries a positive direct effect, but also a … volatility is then ambiguous. The paper reveals the underlying endogeneity of government size in a balanced panel of 95 countries … increase of volatility lowers growth by up to 0.57 percentage points in a democracy, but raises growth by 1.74 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228789
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011647033
Policy reforms aimed at boosting long-run growth often have side effects – positive or negative – on an economy’s vulnerability to shocks and their propagation. Macroeconomic shocks as severe and protracted as those since 2007 warrant a reconsideration of the role growth-promoting policies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010231015