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below the pre-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than … anticipated, suggesting a breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 … find that the effect of unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s but has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936771
-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation,for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002151
This paper studies the impact of exchange rate regimes on inflation, nominal money growth, real interes rates, and GDP … growth. We find that, for nonindustrial economies, long pegs (lasting five or more years) are associated with lower inflation … than floats, but at the cost of slower growth. A similar trade-off between inflation and groth is still present in the case …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071945
Digitalisation can be viewed as a major supply/technology shock affecting macroeconomic aggregates that are important for monetary policy, such as output, productivity, investment, employment and prices. This paper takes stock of developments in the digital economy and their possible impacts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012254362
-have been carried out at no cost to output. After suggesting a new methodology that allows for long-lived effects and inflation … combination of circumstances-i.e. capital inflows, structural reforms and the peculiar recent inflation history-can explain that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293509
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330933
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009730202
This paper investigates the relationship between the Great Moderation and two measures of inflation performance: trend … inflation and inflation volatility. Using annual data from 1970 to 2011 for a large panel of 180 developed and developing … empirical findings show that the effect of inflation volatility is positive, while the effect of trend inflation is negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010346738
We use Bayesian additive regression trees to reexamine the efficiency of growth and inflation forecasts for Germany. To …-term growth and longer-term inflation forecasts. We cannot reject weak efficiency of short-term growth and inflation forecasts. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822387
This paper investigates the relationship between the Great Moderation and two measures of inflation performance: trend … inflation and inflation volatility. Using annual data from 1970 to 2011 for a large panel of 180 developed and developing … empirical findings show that the effect of inflation volatility is positive, while the effect of trend inflation is negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060326