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In his Annual Presidential Address to the Federal Assembly on 30 November 2016, Russian President Vladimir Putin underscored Russia's goal to catch up with the world average growth rates by 2019–2020. As a reminder, the IMF projects 3.7% for the average annual growth rate of the global economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952697
The RF Ministry of Economic Development presented three scenarios in its socioeconomic development forecast for 2016, which envisaged that the GDP decline trajectory would hit its lowest point in 2015 (-3.9%), and the rate of GDP growth would be fluctuating somewhere between (-1.0) and 2.3% in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009638
The results of the estimates obtained using the Gaidar Institute method of decomposing Russia's GDP growth rates show that in 2015 all of the components of economic growth rates will make them negative. Furthermore, the current economic contraction is mostly of structural nature induced by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012788
The results of the estimates made using a method developed by the Gaidar Institute for decomposing Russia's GDP growth rates show that economic contraction in 2015 is determined by structural causes, according to the two scenarios within an updated forecast of the Ministry of Economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018130
The results of the estimates obtained using the Gaidar Institute method of decomposing Russia's GDP growth rates show that in 2015 all of the components of economic growth rates will make them negative. Furthermore, the current economic contraction is mostly of structural nature induced by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023163
World trade growth rates have significantly slowed: in 2015, the volume of world trade went up by 2.8% and according to the WTO forecast will remain at the same level throughout 2016. As a result, the current year will be the fifth year in a row when the trade turnover will increase by less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986096
Calculations of decomposition of the RF GDP growth rates in 1999–2015 and the MED's forecast for 2016–2019 show that in current conditions cyclical components related to the domestic business cycle's entering the positive phase are the only source of economic growth. However, they alone are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988026
The Gaidar Institute developed a comprehensive methodology for decomposing the growth rate of Russia's GDP into its structural, foreign trade and situational components, which is based on the same decompositin algorithm as applied in the analysis of macroeconomic indicators of the developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043232
In 2018, the growth rate of GDP in Russia (2.3 percent) represents a record high of per annum economic growth rate since 2012. This year-end result is notably above the estimates offered by a majority of international financial organizations (the IMF, World Bank, the OECD), as well as by Russian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863468
The Gaidar Institute has developed a method of decomposing Russia's GDP growth rates into the structural, foreign trade, and market-based components based on the decomposition algorithm decomposing macroeconomic indicators of developed countries (OECD). The algorithm has been refi ned to take...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028752