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unemployment rate, we find strong statistical support for the idea that a counterfactual change in the size of structural shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735190
In this paper, we analyse Okun's law - a relation between the change in the unemployment rate and GDP growth - using … fruitful. In terms of dynamic effects, a shock to GDP growth has robustly negative effects on the change in the unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799537
This study uses a Vector Autoregression approach to examine the link between jobless recoveries and the fast employment expansion in finance, health, and education (FHE) sectors. Both reduced-form estimates and impulse responses indicate a negative effect of the expansion on aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967064
We propose a theoretical framework to reconcile episodes of V-shaped and L-shaped recovery, encompassing the behaviour of the U.S. economy before and after the Great Recession. In a DSGE model with endogenous growth, negative demand shocks destroy productive capacity, moving GDP to a lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533939
below the pre-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than … find that the effect of unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s but has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936771
-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … unemployment on inflation,for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002151
In this paper, we use a SVAR model in order to study the asymmetry of growth and inflation developments in the acceding countries vis-à-vis the euro area over the years 1995-2003. The model combines two strands of the literature, the explanation in terms of country-specific and euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011625679
based on nine key economic timeseries including gross domestic product, industrial production,unemployment, confidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324815
This paper shows that the explanation of the decline in the volatility of GDP growth since the mid-eighties is not the decline in the volatility of exogenous shocks but rather a change in their propagation mechanism.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604911
This paper considers the linkages between output growth and output volatility for the sample of G7 countries over the period 1958M2-2011M7, thereby paying particular attention to spillovers within and between countries. Using the VAR-based spillover index approach by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374341