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High (low) quality stocks generate anomalously high (low) returns above and beyond expected returns based on betas, market sizes, valuations, and momentum. We provide a comprehensive overview of commonly used quality definitions and test their predictive power for stock returns. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855438
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110732
The most recent BIS triennial survey shows that turnover in foreign exchange markets increased by more than 70% over the three years to April 2007. Two specific findings stand out. First, the growth in transactions between banks and other financial institutions was particularly strong,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092066
This study proposes to investigate the link between Real Exchange Rate and Economic Growth in ten Asia - Pacific countries and aims to study how Real Exchange Rate (RER) and Economic Growth (EG) were related to each other. This study decomposed the linear relationship between RER and Economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826960
The main purpose of this study is to examine the causal relationship between Real Exchange Rate and Economic Growth Variables in the Asia – Pacific region. Granger Causality Test was employed, to examine the causal relationship between the dependent and independent variables, with the sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826961
With global recovery not in sight, along with calls for stronger structural reform, international policy coordination is again under spotlight. Correcting global imbalance would contribute towards closing the demand gap. Emerging economies in particular should allow greater exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969380
We describe a novel currency investment strategy, the `dollar carry trade,' which delivers large excess returns, uncorrelated with the returns on well-known carry trade strategies. Using a no-arbitrage model of exchange rates we show that these excess returns compensate U.S. investors for taking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857596
The paper aims to test long-term and short-term causality from four exchange rates, the Korean won/$US, the Korean won/Euro, the Korean won/Japanese yen, and the Korean won/Chinese yuan, to the Korea Composite Stock Price Index in the presence of several macro-economic variables using monthly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296141
We extract expectations about future economic growth from firms' cross-border merger and acquisition (M&A) announcements, and show they predict changes in economic growth rates and foreign exchange rate returns. The predictability is driven by the cross-border M&A announcements of cyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013300616
This study queries the oil price-exchange rate linkage in Nigeria deploying data at daily frequency spanning January 2, 2009 to September 28, 2010. Two volatility models – the generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) and exponential GARCH (EGARCH) – were deployed to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099897