In this paper we present simulations of economic performance of the Polish economy based on a quarterly econometric model. The model consists of 22 stochastic equations, which link the financial market with the real economy. The purpose of the research is to present effects of changes to...

This paper investigates the effects of changes in fiscally-induced and trade-related variables on the rate of economic growth. Adopting the simplest possible version of the Keynesian/Ramsey paradigm, it is showed that both the level as proxy for the short-run impact, and the change as proxy for...

Productivity growth has flat-lined in most economies despite rapid advances in technology. Economists suggest competing explanations for this paradox. Some argue the current stagnation will persist given deep structural challenges, arguing that recent technological advances are no match for...

In this paper we present simulations of economic performance of the Polish economy based on a quarterly econometric model. The model consists of 22 stochastic equations, which link the financial market with the real economy. The purpose of the research is to present effects of changes to...

The authors review the challenges that the Romanian economy and society had to face in the European and global geoeconomic context. Starting from the perspectives advanced by the international economic fora, the risks the European economy will have to answer through counteracting and general...

This study aims to explore the relationship between public debt and trade openness on economic growth in the context of the Indonesian economy. The symmetric model (Autoregressive Distributed Lag/ARDL) and the asymmetric model (Nonlinear ARDL) are employed to estimate the association among the...

The relationship between foreign trade and economic growth is one of the most important research areas in the literature because the direction and importance of this relationship can vary from country to country and from time to time. In this study, the causal relationship between Somalia's...

This working paper draws on historical and contemporary data on tariffs, non tariff barriers, and transportation costs (for the United States and its major trading partners) to estimate the role of policy liberalization in US merchandise trade growth over the period 1980 to 2006. Both partial...

In this paper, we perform different simulations to assess the effect of the Trump administration's international trade policy on the Chinese and American economies in the next five years. To do so, we develop a new economic simulator, namely the “Foreign Trade War Smash Wave Effect Simulator...

Trade in Africa is largely characterized by trade with foreign countries. Many African countries rely on earnings from export of natural resources, as well as food and commodities imported from outside the borders of Africa. Thus, at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, Africa immediately...