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Currently, evidence on the ‘resource curse’ yields a conundrum. While there is much cross-section evidence to support the curse hypothesis, time series analyses using vector autoregressive (VAR) models have found that commodity booms raise the growth of commodity exporters. This paper adopts...
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This chapter examines major highlights on macroeconomic and fiscal issues affecting the Kuwaiti economy based on different oil price assumptions. Forecast, analysis and simulations are performed using the Kuwait SCPD macro model. For the Kuwait economy, the author has explored three scenarios...
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Autoregressive (SVAR) methodology is applied incorporating realized volatility as an indicator of oil price uncertainty to …
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The goal of this paper is to examine the impact of crude oil price movements on two macro variables, the gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate and the consumer price index (CPI) inflation rate, in three countries, the People's Republic of China (an emerging economy), Japan, and the United...
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