Globalization, Specialization and Innovation Dynamics.- Savings, Investment and Growth: New Approaches for Macroeconomic Modeling -- Economic Integration, Technological Progress and Growth -- Impact of the Real Exchange Rate on Trade, Structural Change and Growth -- Macroeconomic Aspects of...

We evaluate the role of financial conditions as predictors of macroeconomic risk first in the quantile regression framework of Adrian et al. (2019b), which allows for non-linearities, and then in a novel linear semi-structural model as proposed by Hasenzagl et al. (2018). We distinguish between...