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the likelihood of equilibrium determinacy to be both modest and limited to the second half of the 1970s. In contrast, our … inflation, wage indexation and determinacy in the post-WWII U.S. economic environment. Further simulations show that rising the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343856
The paper analyses the way in which monetary and fiscal policy influences the performances of economic growth. The analysis is made on the basis of a dynamic model with discrete variables of the Sidrauski- Brock type, with infinite-lived households and money in the utility function. The model is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012725227
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655482
This paper investigates the average impact of government debt on per-capita GDP growth in twelve euro area countries over a period of about 40 years starting in 1970. It finds a non-linear impact of debt on growth with a turning point—beyond which the government debt-to-GDP ratio has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008657130
This paper investigates the average impact of government debt on per-capita GDP growth in twelve euro area countries over a period of about 40 years starting in 1970. It finds a non-linear impact of debt on growth with a turning point — beyond which the government debt-to-GDP ratio has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316176
This paper investigates whether the degree of interdependence between the United States and the euro area economies has changed with the advent of EMU. It addresses this issue from the perspective of financial markets by analysing the effects of monetary policy and macroeconomic news on daily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319350
The aim of this paper is to study how macroeconomic impulses can affect the term structure during the Great Moderation. As novelty in the research strategy, we create a term-structure using three latent factors of the yield curve. A Nelson-Siegel Model is implemented to estimate the latent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014144946
The yield spread is a well documented leading indicator of GDP growth. Estrella (2005) proposes a model to explain this relationship. Within the model, the leading properties of the yield spread are determined by the monetary policy. Accordingly, changes of the leading properties that have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014052153
This paper investigates whether the degree and the nature of economic and monetary policy interdependence between the United States and the euro area have changed with the advent of EMU. Using real-time data, it addresses this issue from the perspective of financial markets by analysing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071471
This paper brings together two strands of the empirical macro literature: the reduced-form evidence that the yield spread helps in forecasting output and the structural evidence on the difficulties of estimating the effect of monetary policy on output in an intertemporal Euler equation. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014067148