Empirical data is presented suggesting that high private and, to a lesser extent, public debt levels place a strong drag upon economic growth. A simple, demand-based, cash flow (DBCF) model of the economy is developed, separating out flows by marginal propensity to spend. This approach is both...

This paper concerns the terminal value calculation, represented by {numerator/(r-g)} where r and g define, respectively, the discount factor and the growth rate. Expressions of this kind derive from discounting a geometric series of payoffs, the Gordon-Williams model providing the prototype....

This study investigates the dynamics of quarterly real GDP per capita growth rates across four countries, the US, UK, Canada and France. I obtain estimates for ARIMA(p,q) processes for first differences of log quarterly real GDP per capita using Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo, allowing...