Showing 1 - 10 of 6,437
In the last decade, advanced economies, including the euro area, experienced deflationary pressures caused by the global financial crisis of 2007-2009 and the anti-crisis policies that followed - in particular, the new financial regulations (which led to a deep decline in the money multiplier)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011852813
Although euro area-wide inflation was from 1999 to 2005 almost right, i.e., "close to balance, but below 2%," and … emerges at country level is more scattered. Inside a monetary union, inflation divergences could be destabilizing and an … excessive dispersion could be a problem, thus the scattered performance of the single members in terms of HICP inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014026523
In the last decade, advanced economies, including the euro area, experienced deflationary pressures caused by the global financial crisis of 2007-2009 and the anti-crisis policies that followed—in particular, the new financial regulations (which led to a deep decline in the money multiplier)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920665
volume, an early exit, and a faster exit from the program on output and inflation in the euro area. Model simulations showed … that economic growth and inflation rates would decrease in all three scenarios. However, the effects of the scenario with … particular, an early exit from the program should significantly affect inflation rates, an effect that the European Central Bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011750746
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003852539
This paper evaluates models that exploit timely monthly releases to compute early estimates of current quarter GDP (now-casting) in the euro area. We compare traditional methods used at institutions with a new method proposed by Giannone, Reichlin, and Small (2005). The method consists in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003794044
This paper examines whether European integration, manifesting itself in increased trade and FDI linkages, new specializations and economic policy coordination, contributed to the synchronization of business cycles in the enlarged EU. We estimate the effects on bilateral growth rate correlations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346443
The world has been struck by a mutating systemic financial crisis that is unprecedented in terms of financial losses and fiscal costs, geographic reach, and speed and synchronisation. The crisis from August 2007 to date can be divided into three main phases: the financial turmoil from August...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101191
Recent monetary policy studies have shown that the trend productivity growth has non-trivial implications for monetary policy. This paper investigates how trend growth alters the effect of model uncertainty on macroeconomic fluctuations by introducing a robust control problem. We show that an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218467
This paper examines the cyclical behaviour of country-level macro-financial variables under EMU. Monetary union strengthened the covariation pattern between the output cycle and the financial cycle, while macro-financial policies at national and area-wide levels were insufficiently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248875