Mikosch, Heiner; Zhang, Ying - 2014 - First version: December 01, 2013, This version: July 10, 2014
Building on a mixed data sampling (MIDAS) model we evaluate the predictive power of a variety of monthly macroeconomic indicators for forecasting quarterly Chinese GDP growth. We iterate the evaluation over forecast horizons from 370 days to 1 day prior to GDP release and track the release days...