Nyholm, Juho; Voutilainen, Ville - 2021
We analyze the relationship of the distribution of future GDP growth and accumulation of household debt in Finnish … macroeconomic data from 1980 to 2019. We find clear evidence that exuberant accumulation of household debt is related to the … damped. Thus, there is a link between rapid household debt growth and increase in probabilities of more severe downturns. We …