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This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110732
Based on U.S. stock returns from 1973 to 2015, this study found that the asset growth anomaly does not seem to be pervasive and investable. The trading strategy is robust only among a tiny portion of the equity market in terms of both number of stocks and capitalization. In addition to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853698
never been tested on a large scale dataset. Thus, guided by economic theory, this paper is the first to design a large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008077
I examine the ability of equity market illiquidity to predict Australian macroeconomic variables, between 1976 and 2010. In contrast to existing, U.S.-based, studies, I find that stock market illiquidity does not, on average, have much predictive power over economic growth. Consistent with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086653
This study investigates the contextual and psychological factors influencing individual investor's decision making in the currently volatile and emerging Indian investment market. Primary information was collected through a multi-segment questionnaire. Responses were obtained from 384...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848787
Because positive spillovers give investment in innovation a social rate of return several times higher than its internal rate of return to innovators, innovation is chronically underfunded. Recurrent manias, panics, and crashes in stock markets inundate “hot” new technologies with capital....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238426
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110894
Since the early 2000s liquidity in option markets has become less resilient, and our evidence suggests that it is so because of an increased vulnerability to liquidity shocks in the underlying. To demonstrate the causal impact, we consider an incident in which a large broker dealer erroneously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844386
finance nor to traditional economical theories? Inspired by rational choice theory, this paper tries to explore this largely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021105
Growth opportunity bias (GOB), measured as the difference between market and fundamental values of a firm's growth opportunity, has an ability to predict future stock returns. In the portfolio sort, downward-biased GOB firms earn higher returns than upward-biased GOB firms, which is unexplained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849963