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We analyze the role of macroeconomic fundamentals for the term structure of sovereign bond yields. We take a structured … roughly triple the predictive ability of five yield-based factors for bond returns, capturing a large portion of time …
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We document an inverse relation between stock-bond correlations and correlations of growth and inflation. We find that … rising inflation uncertainty lowers stock prices but can either lower or raise nominal bond prices depending on whether … important drivers of stock-bond correlations during the countercyclical period 1965-2000 while output shocks dominated during …
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The aim of this paper is to study how macroeconomic impulses can affect the term structure during the Great Moderation. As novelty in the research strategy, we create a term-structure using three latent factors of the yield curve. A Nelson-Siegel Model is implemented to estimate the latent...
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