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Prior literature in accounting and financial economics measures asset growth as year-over-year growth in total assets. Such growth estimates are upward biased when firms engage in mergers and acquisitions. We decompose asset growth into merger-related and organic growth components, and find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036298
I examine the ability of equity market illiquidity to predict Australian macroeconomic variables, between 1976 and 2010. In contrast to existing, U.S.-based, studies, I find that stock market illiquidity does not, on average, have much predictive power over economic growth. Consistent with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086653
Møller and Rangvid (2015) report that economic growth at the end of the year is a strong predictor of future stock returns for the post-WWII period, whereas economic growth during the rest of the year does not. Revisiting these results with an extended period 1926-2020, we find that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323390
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This paper extends the output growth model tested by Levine and Zervos (1998) by including a channel for capital allocation efficiency proxied by stock price informativeness. Using a sample of 59 countries, this study finds that stock price informativeness as measured by firm-specific return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088911
This paper extends the output growth model tested by Levine and Zervos (1998) by including a channel for capital allocation efficiency proxied by stock price informativeness. Using a sample of 59 countries, this study finds that stock price informativeness as measured by firm-specific return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090426
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010530710
We examine the relation between an ex ante measure of IPO growth prospects – the industry-level long-term analyst earnings growth forecast – and short- and long-run IPO returns, using a sample of 7,570 IPOs from 1982 to 2007. The use of an industry-level, rather than firm-level growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115063
Can stock price movements be traced back partially to interpersonal utility effects? That is, are shareholders also chasing nonfinancial goals apart from generating profit under risk that can be ascribed neither to findings of behavioral finance nor to traditional economical theories? Inspired...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021105
Global economic growth at the end of the year strongly predicts returns from a wide spectrum of international assets, such as global, regional, and individual-country stocks, FX, and commodities. Global economic growth at other times of the year does not predict international returns. Low growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027578