Showing 1 - 10 of 9,419
This paper provides empirical evidence regarding the causal links between macroeconomic uncertainty and output growth using Greek data. Uncertainty is considered in distinct components, namely the inflation uncertainty and the output growth uncertainty. The results reveal significant negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092195
We find that model estimates of the term structure of ex ante or perceived macro uncertainty are more in line with realized uncertainty than survey respondents perceptions for both in flation and output growth. Survey estimates contain short-term variation in short-horizon uncertainty which is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532235
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011628148
This study provides analytical insight on modelling macroeconomic and oil price volatility in Nigeria. Mainly, the … GARCH - M); and oil price is a major source of macroeconomic volatility in Nigeria. By implication, the Nigerian economy is … vulnerable to both internal shocks (interest rate volatility, real GDP volatility) and external shocks (exchange rate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460195
The study examines the volatility linkages between India and Asian tiger cubs, i.e., the Philippines, Indonesia …, Malaysia, and Thailand. It aims to explore the spillover effects of volatility among these countries' stock markets to provide …. Understanding the causal pattern between economic growth and stock market volatility will allow investors to estimate potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013349202
link between oil shocks and the volatility of economic growth. A new measure of oil shocks is developed and shown to be … volatility to oil price changes. Uncertainty about future growth is considerably lower compared to a benchmark AR(1) model when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014114772
In this paper, we challenge the traditional assumption of a linear relationship between exchange rate volatility and … volatility positively and significantly influences economic growth when growth in government spending is below 6 percent. Above … this 6 percent threshold, volatility exerts an insignificant effect on economic growth. In light of the adoption of a free …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870188
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011760389
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012693584
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012027392