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brink of collapse and the deepest contraction in world output in more than half a century followed. Moreover, unprecedented …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929483
that a rise in conditional consumption growth volatility relative to the rest of the world reduces the foreign exchange … relation between the volatility in consumption growth and the level of real interest rates relative to the world interest rate …We construct a measure of the short-term world interest rate using principal component analysis. Drawing on real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008695840
This paper examines long memory volatility in international stock markets. We show that long memory volatility is … memory in volatility than emerging and frontier countries and that stock market jumps are negatively correlated with long … memory of volatility. Overall, our results provide some evidence of a link between stock market uncertainty and macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853413
We describe a novel currency investment strategy, the `dollar carry trade,' which delivers large excess returns, uncorrelated with the returns on well-known carry trade strategies. Using a no-arbitrage model of exchange rates we show that these excess returns compensate U.S. investors for taking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857596
probability of macroeconomic catastrophes à la Barro (2006), and to the case of an uncertain trend or volatility of growth à la …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009689360
probability of macroeconomic catastrophes à la Barro (2006), and to the case of an uncertain trend or volatility of growth à la …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315817
This study examined the relationship between macroeconomic variable volatility and stock market return within the … domestic product (RGDP), we therefore recommends that policy makers on the one hand should consider volatility in both the … practitioners are expected to make provisions for volatility in interest rate and the RGDP when making portfolio decisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997048
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011695419
activity. However, using U.S. data since 1950 we show that the macroeconomic response pattern to stock market volatility shocks … decomposition for consumption growth shows that the contribution of stock market volatility becomes negligible as we go from earlier … of stock market volatility. -- Dow Jones index ; stock market volatility shocks ; economic growth ; consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009380407
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971758