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savings and in per capita output growth in China since the mid-1970s. The demographic changes come from reductions in the …We examine the role of demographics and changing industrial policies in ac- counting for the rapid rise in household … policies both contributed to in- creases in savings and output growth but with differing intensities and at different horizons …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012058934
High-income countries have generally experienced falling fertility in recent decades. In most of these countries, the total fertility rate is now below the level that implies a stable population in the long run. This has led to concerns among economists, policymakers, and the wider public about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014377694
This study assesses the economic implications of China's changing population in the 21st century using a numerical … mobility is high in China, a low fertility rate implies more future capital outflows. But if capital is less mobile, low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318027
changes by themselves account for a large fraction of the rise in household and corporate savings relative to total output and … is endogenous human capital accumulation, which depresses household savings between 1985 and 2010 but leads to … contributing to China’s economic growth between 1976 and 2015. We find that the demographic transition and industrial policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080123
changes by themselves account for a large fraction of the rise in household and corporate savings relative to total output and … is endogenous human capital accumulation, which depresses household savings between 1985 and 2010 but leads to … contributing to China’s economic growth between 1976 and 2015. We find that the demographic transition and industrial policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081597
quantitative macroeconomic theory. We apply the model to examine the effect of an intervention that immediately reduces TFR by 1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009299560
A large number of pairs of countries exhibit a dynamic pattern in which: (i) Fertility in both countries declines across time; (ii) Initially one country has higher fertility and lower per-capita income compared to the other; (iii) In time, as per-capita income converges, fertility rates in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012734396
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013185395
Intergenerational inequality and old-age poverty are salient issues in contemporary China. China's aging population …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082281
We assess the impact of population structure on economic growth. Following recent research, we focus on the generational turnover as a key driver of consumption growth. We characterize the impact of the average birth and death rates on the generational turnover, depending on the age-profile of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477584