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Recently, Fagiolo et al. (2008) find fat tails of economic growth rates after adjusting for outliers, autocorrelation, and heteroskedasticity. This paper employs US quarterly real output growth, showing that this finding of fat tails may reflect the Great Moderation. That is, leptokurtosis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757983
greater competitive threats from rival firms in product markets. However, the real effects of dividend policy on product … market outcomes are not widely understood. This paper investigates the causal effects of dividend policy on sales growth in … product markets. Exploiting the 2003 dividend tax cut as the exogenous shock to dividend policy and the cross-firm variation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931261
This paper shows that the effect of inflation on asset prices and real aggregates depends on the financial intermediation sector. When firms finance using nominal long-term debt issued by financial intermediaries, unexpected changes in inflation lead to a wealth transfer across sectors. Higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012595351
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012547564
timely measures of uncertainty and expected growth across horizons. Asset prices, such as dividend futures and index options … by using new data on the prices of options on index-level dividends, from which we can compute implied dividend … volatility. These implied volatilities differ from the VIX which measures uncertainty about stock prices, not only uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351923
Anglo-Saxon countries have been successful in the 1990s concerning labor market performance compared to the former role models Germany and Japan. This reversal in relative economic performance might be related to idiosyncracies in financial markets with bank-based financial markets as in Germany...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507850
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989468
paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries a positive direct effect, but also a … volatility is then ambiguous. The paper reveals the underlying endogeneity of government size in a balanced panel of 95 countries … increase of volatility lowers growth by up to 0.57 percentage points in a democracy, but raises growth by 1.74 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228789
Although firm financial policies were affected by a credit contraction during the recent financial crisis, the impact of increased uncertainty and decreased growth opportunities was stronger than that of the credit contraction per se. From the start of the financial crisis (third quarter of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094404
Many contributions in the recent literature have investigated over the relationship between growth and its volatility … without getting a clear and unambiguous answer. Besides reassessing the well-known effect of output volatility on growth as … benchmark analysis, this study aims at looking into the "black box" of the business cycle volatility by disentangling the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112458