This paper analyzes the impact of the exchange rate regime on inflation and output in (South) Eastern and Central Europe. The panel estimations for the period between 1994 and 2004 show that de facto measures of exchange rate stability have a better explanatory power than the de jure measures in...

The paper argues that persistent current account surpluses and increasing foreign currency-denominated asset positions constitute long-term appreciation expectations on yuan and yen, which have made China and Japan vulnerable to U.S. interest rate cuts and appreciation expectation shocks. For...