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Foreign driven medium-term oscillations that originate from uctuations in technological frontier countries gained widespread attention among policymakers. To study this phenomenon in the context of domestic and other foreign drivers of the euro area business cycle, we develop a medium-scale,...
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We study the relationship between the strength of the bank credit channel (BCC) of monetary policy transmission and real GDP growth in Tunisia using quarterly commercial bank-level data between 2008 and 2019. We find evidence of the existence of the bank credit channel in Tunisia in both its...
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In the last few decades, real GDP growth and investment in advanced countries have declined in tandem. This slowdown was not the result of weak demand (there has been no shift along the Okun curve), but of a decline in potential output growth (which has shifted the Okun curve to the left). We...
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changes in output on unemployment are least sensitive for states with relatively large employment within government … manufacturing sectors. States with lower manufacturing employment have a less sensitive output to unemployment relationship, but the …
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An increase in the household debt to GDP ratio predicts lower GDP growth and higher unemployment in the medium run for …
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