Showing 1 - 10 of 14,604
The paper employs partial and biwavelet coherence techniques to examine the time-frequency dependence structure of international remittance inflow on economic growth by moderating the effect of exchange rates. We investigate the comovements of remittance and economic growth from 1980 to 2020. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500520
The aim of the paper is to compare the forecasting performance of a class of state-dependent autoregressive (SDAR) models for univariate time series with two alternative families of nonlinear models, such as the SETAR and the GARCH models. The study is conducted on US GDP growth rate using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829353
The aim of this paper is to empirically investigate the relationship between exchange-rate regime and economic growth, building on underlying theoretical examination and shortcomings of empirical literature. Channels through which regime might influence growth could be distinguished at: i) level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132175
This paper analyses the effects of two alternative monetary strategies (exchange rate targeting and inflation targeting) on economic growth and employment. On the panel of 18 countries for the period from 1996 to 2013, I tested the hypothesis that countries in exchange rate targeting have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305750
In this paper, we revisit the relationship between economic growth and exchange rate misalignments, especially undervaluations. In particular, we ask which countries benefit from undervaluations at most, and whether the impact of undervaluations on growth depends on institutional quality as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012261830
Reduced exchange rate volatility and higher and less heterogeneous quality of institutional rules and macroeconomic policies are two of the main (anticipated and concurring) effects expected from a currency union. In this paper we measure the magnitude of these two effects on the Euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014068083
In this paper, we seek to produce forecasts of commodity price movements that can systematically improve on naïve statistical benchmarks. We revisit how well changes in commodity currencies perform as potential efficient predictors of commodity prices, a view emphasized in the recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003947540
In this paper, we seek to produce forecasts of commodity price movements that can systematically improve on naïve statistical benchmarks. We revisit how well changes in commodity currencies perform as potential efficient predictors of commodity prices, a view emphasized in the recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014204419
I regress real GDP growth rates on the IMF's growth forecasts and find that IMF forecasts behave similarly to those generated by overfitted models, placing too much weight on observable predictors and underestimating the forces of mean reversion. I identify several such variables that explain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895122
This study examines the dynamic interactions among foreign direct investment (FDI), economic growth (GDPG), and real exchange rate (RER) in Ghana using time series data over the period 1996 to 2018, and two econometric models: a trivariate VAR and the ARDL bound test. The results reveal that no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500390