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business cycles theory and testing inflation persistence. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597938
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The global fall in interest rates in recent decades has raised the possibility of a negative natural rate of interest. The secular stagnation hypothesis argues that a negative natural rate of interest is the underlying cause of the Great Recession. In this paper I demonstrate the role of bubbles...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960801
This paper investigates the implications of convenience yields for inflation and long-term growth in a model of the … fiscal theory. The government's debt valuation equation links convenience yields to inflation and taxation which affects the … incentives to innovate. Convenience yields affect inflation through a standard seignorage channel as well as through a novel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291364
We document an inverse relation between stock-bond correlations and correlations of growth and inflation. We find that … rising inflation uncertainty lowers stock prices but can either lower or raise nominal bond prices depending on whether … inflation is counter- or procyclical. We show that the time-varying comovement of growth and inflation has important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009684165
Combining concrete policy-oriented modeling strategies of World War II with what was received as traditional neoclassical theory, in 1956 Robert Solow constructed a simple, clean, and smooth-functioning “design” model that served many different purposes. As a working object it enabled...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054604
The evolution of macroeconomic theory and monetary policy has brought us to a state that calls for critical reflection. It is undoubtedly true that no newcomer to the field can even begin to understand the current state of macroeconomics and policy formulation without understanding just how,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083911
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It has been shown that higher capital taxes can have a growth-enhancing effect when combined with a revenue-compensating cut in wage taxes (Uhlig and Yanagawa 1996; European Economic Review 40, 1521-1540) or with an expansion in productivity-increasing public services (Rivas 2003; European Economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265806
We incorporate Keeping-up-with-the-Joneses (KUJ) preferences into the Blanchard-Yaari (BY) framework and develop, using an AK technology, a model of balanced growth. In this context we investigate status preference, demographic, and pension policy shocks. We find that a higher degree of KUJ...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790968