Showing 1 - 10 of 13,348
Im Zentrum dieser Dissertation steht das Beschreiben und Erklären von Konjunkturdynamiken. Motiviert durch den außerordentlich starken wirtschaftlichen Einbruch in 2008/2009 betont die Arbeit dabei die Wichtigkeit der Nutzung von nichtlinearen Modellansätzen. Die Dissertation kann als Beitrag...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154125
volatility. Using monthly data of the industrial production indices in the five economies and applying the ARCH/GARCH models to … generate a measure of output volatility to conduct the two-step approach, the results show that output volatility positively … it will not alter the volatility and growth relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125767
This paper connects two salient economic features: (i) Fiscal shocks have asymmetric effects across business cycle phases (Gechert et al., 2019); (ii) Okun's coefficient is time varying and may be unstable. The intertwined dynamic behavior of fiscal shocks and unemployment-output trade-offs are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012054782
paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries a positive direct effect, but also a … volatility is then ambiguous. The paper reveals the underlying endogeneity of government size in a balanced panel of 95 countries … increase of volatility lowers growth by up to 0.57 percentage points in a democracy, but raises growth by 1.74 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228789
non-Gaussianity when modelling the relation. This is done in a Bayesian VAR framework with stochastic volatility where we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799537
volatility in developing and transition economies, using dynamic panel technique. According to an analysis of variance and … financial markets. Using data for 44 countries during 1960- 2010, our GMM estimation results indicate that government … expenditures, consumption and GDP volatilities are the major determinants of macroeconomic volatility. The most influential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009788587
inflation and inflation volatility. Using annual data from 1970 to 2011 for a large panel of 180 developed and developing … economies, the results show that, as expected, both measures are positively correlated with output volatility. When the two … empirical findings show that the effect of inflation volatility is positive, while the effect of trend inflation is negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010346738
This paper provides empirical evidence regarding the causal links between macroeconomic uncertainty and output growth using Greek data. Uncertainty is considered in distinct components, namely the inflation uncertainty and the output growth uncertainty. The results reveal significant negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092195
This study examines the relationship between U.S. output growth and its volatility over the period 1875:Q1 to 2008:Q2 … breaks in the growth rate and its volatility. In so doing, we employ autoregressive generalized conditional … growth rate and its volatility with and without structural breaks in the mean and volatility processes. We discover one break …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065738
volatility. Instrumental variable estimation supports our intuition about the direction of causality …Since output growth volatility has negative effects on growth, poverty and welfare, especially in poorer countries, it …. Remittances can help reduce output growth volatility thanks to their considerable magnitude, stability and low pro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723723