China is well-placed to avoid the so-called “middle-income trap” and to continue to converge towards the more advanced economies, even though growth is likely to slow from near double-digit rates in the first decade of this millennium to around 7% at the 2020 horizon. However, in order to...

How do you value companies which have IPOed recently? How do you compare them amongst their peers? Valuing companies using a linear extrapolation of their revenues and profits leads to an ingenious method to benchmark stocks against each other. Here we present such a method, dubbed the growth...

Since the late 1990s, the United States has received large capital flows from developing countries and experienced a productivity growth slowdown. Motivated by these facts, we provide a model connecting international financial integration and global productivity growth. The key feature is that...

This paper studies the economic growth implications of financial innovations that emerge in more sophisticated and complete financial markets. Financial innovations in the form of new financial instruments, services, institutions, technologies, and markets mobilise financial surpluses from...

Im vorliegenden Text wird dargelegt, warum in die moderne Wirtschaft ein Wachstumszwang und Wachstumsdrang eingebaut sind. Wird eine globale minimale Wachstumsrate unterschritten, kommt es zur Krise.

u0093Bond Market Inflation Expectation and Longer-term Trends in Broad Monetary Growth and Inflation in Industrial Countries, 1880-2001u0094 by William G. Dewald, Professor of Economics Emeritus, Ohio State University and Former Director of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Annual...

There is substantial consensus in the literature that positive uncertainty shocks predict a slowdown of economic activity. However, using U.S. data since 1950 we show that the macroeconomic response pattern to stock market volatility shocks has changed substantially over time. The negative...

Im vorliegenden Text wird dargelegt, warum in die moderne Wirtschaft ein Wachstumszwang und Wachstumsdrang eingebaut sind. Wird eine globale minimale Wachstumsrate unterschritten, kommt es zur Krise. -- Wachstumsspirale ; Geldsystem ; Krise

We assess econometrically the impact of asset shortages on economic growth, asset bubbles, the probability of a crisis, and the current account for a group of 41 Emerging markets for 1995-2008. The econometric estimations confirm that asset shortages pose a serious danger to EMs in terms of...

The evolution of macroeconomic theory and monetary policy has brought us to a state that calls for critical reflection. It is undoubtedly true that no newcomer to the field can even begin to understand the current state of macroeconomics and policy formulation without understanding just how,...