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This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
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The decline in macroeconomic volatility from the 1980s to the onset of the Great Recession did not, in general …, translate into more microeconomic stability. While microeconomic volatility can reflect growth-generating processes, such as … creative destruction and re-allocation of resources, consumption growth volatility weighs on households’ welfare. This study …
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balanced growth path for this economy, thereby obtaining a theory of endogenous growth that captures in a tractable way the …
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the returns to quality but also the returns to quantity. The theory suggests that in contrast to longevity, improvements …
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