I extend financial literature by presenting a model that expresses a firm's expected stock return as a function of the expected free cash flow growth, as opposed to dividends or profits. I find empirical evidence which supports the hypothesis that realized cash flow growth and expected cash flow...

This paper documents that the increase in public debt can lead to higher dividend payout to shareholders, which suggests public debt can be a strong cash flow predictor which helps better predict future stock returns. Specifically, the higher public debt-to-GDP ratio can predict both higher...