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documents that, when the idiosyncratic volatility is specified by firm size, the size-portfolio idiosyncratic volatility is …, this paper examines the predictive ability of the size-portfolio idiosyncratic volatility for GDP growth. It concludes that … size-portfolio idiosyncratic volatility contain significant information for forecasting future GDP growth for both the U …
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probability of macroeconomic catastrophes à la Barro (2006), and to the case of an uncertain trend or volatility of growth à la …
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probability of macroeconomic catastrophes à la Barro (2006), and to the case of an uncertain trend or volatility of growth à la …
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