Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as 'hysteresis,' argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and...

This study used the Bayesian methodology to estimate and calibrate a small-scale DSGE model of the Philippines. The goal of this study was to review the risk associated with increases in sovereign deficits. The major results of the study are: Estimates of fiscal rules show that fiscal authority...

We estimate the impact of fiscal stimulus measures enacted in response to COVID-19 on U.S. GDP, investment and exports. We apply a dynamic computable general equilibrium model adept at estimating total direct and indirect effects and their time-path. Initial stimulus bills, including the CARES...