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"The business surveys of the ifo Institute (short for ""Information und Forschung"") are internationally renowned. Every month close to 7,000 enterprises are questioned on their short-term planning and their appraisals of the actual and future business situation. The confidence indicator...
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Germany’s attested low attractiveness for high-skilled immigrants to its society’s attitudes towards immigrants. We develop … measures to increase Germany’s attractiveness in the competition about talents. …, anhand derer Deutschland seine Attraktivität im internationalen Wettbewerb um Talente steigern kann. …
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This paper sheds new light on a long-standing puzzle in the international finance literature, namely, that exchange rate expectations appear inaccurate and even irrational. We find for a comprehensive dataset that individual forecasters' performance is skill-based. 'Superior' forecasters show...
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We use oil price forecasts from the Consensus Economic Forecast poll to analyze how forecasters form their expectations. Our findings seem to indicate that the extrapolative as well as the regressive expectation formation hypothesis play a role. Standard measures of forecast accuracy reveal...
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