Lewis, Logan T.; Monarch, Ryan; Sposi, Michael; Zhang, Jing - 2020
Services, which are less traded than goods, rose from 58 percent of world expenditure in 1970 to 79 percent in 2015 … consumption has affected trade. Without structural change, we find that the world trade to GDP ratio would be 15 percentage points … in trade costs, ongoing structural change implies that world trade as a share of GDP would eventually decline. Going …