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It is widely understood that the real price of globally traded commodities is determined by the forces of demand and supply. One of the main determinants of the real price of commodities is shifts in the demand for commodities associated with unexpected fluctuations in global real economic...
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This paper present a variety of approaches to estimating error-correction relationships between CPI inflation and … selected commodity price indices, based on their ability to to forecast out-of-sample predictions of CPI inflation. Depending … on specification, commodity prices have marginal value as predictors of inflation …
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We examine the relative ability of simple inflation targeting (IT) and price level targeting (PLT) monetary policy … rules to minimize both inflation variability and business cycle fluctuations in Canada for shocks that have important … persistent cost-push pressures in the economy leading to a significant deterioration in the inflation - output gap trade …
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Introduction -- The historical framework -- The geography of commodity production and trade -- Comparative advantage and the trade policy distortions -- The fossil fuels -- Price formation and price trends in commodities -- Commodity booms -- The commodity exchanges, commodity investments and...
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