In this didactical exercice we show that the long run welfare gains from international financial integration differ when using the Solow model vis-à-vis the Ramsey model. While the former predicts beneficial effects of financial integration on the wealth and consumption of a poor country...

We analyze the causes of the apparent bias towards optimism in growth forecasts underpinning the design of IMF-supported programs, which has been documented in the literature. We find that financial variables observable to forecasters are strong predictors of growth forecast errors. The greater...