Credit booms are not rare and usually precede financial crises. However, some end in a crisis (bad booms) while others … do not (good booms). We document that credit booms start with an increase in productivity, which subsequently falls much … faster during bad booms. We develop a model in which crises happen when credit markets change to an information regime with …

environment is conducive to countries experiencing credit bubbles that have large macroeconomic effects at home and are quickly … propagated abroad. In previous work, we built on the theory of rational bubbles to develop a framework to think about the origins … and domestic effects of these credit bubbles. This paper extends that framework to two-country setting and studies the …

This paper examines the effects of Islamic banking on the causal linkages between credit and GDP by comparing two sets … analysis provides evidence of long-run causality running from credit to GDP in countries with Islamic banks only. This is …