This paper develops an early warning system for banking crises in the G20 countries, with the inclusion of capital account openness indicators. Results suggest that the capital account openness demonstrates a significant predictive power on systemic banking crises, and the impact is related with...

In this paper, we use the skewed t copula with a DCC (Dynamic Conditional Correlation) model to capture the time-varying asymmetric tail dependence among MSCI US, Europe and Emerging markets. The empirical results show that it is important to take account of asymmetric tail dependence when...

By conducting a structural VAR analysis on the financial systemic stress in 20 countries, this paper provides international evidence that oil structural shocks impact not only stress in individual financial markets but also their connectedness. The oil structural shocks explain a large fraction...