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set of sovereign defaults and find that default events on local and foreign currency bonds are equally likely. However …, governments default under different economic and financial conditions depending on the currency in which bonds are issued. The … explained variation in default probability rises from 43% to 62% when we account for differences in currency denomination. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938192
This paper provides insights into the determinants of currency choice in cross-border bank lending, such as bilateral … distance, financial and trade linkages to issuer countries of major currencies, and invoicing currency patterns. Cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014507151
On February 24-25, 2006 an international workshop on “Regional and International Currency Arrangements” was held in …, international currency arrangements. A number of papers and the contributions by the discussants presented at this workshop are … a World Currency?”; one more affirmative, the other more critical. In addition to the papers by Richard Cooper and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080593
There is already a substantial literature documenting the fact that low yield currencies typically appreciate during times of global financial stress and behave as safe havens. The main objective of this paper is to find out what the fundamentals of safe haven currencies are. We analyse a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008901495
There is already a substantial literature documenting the fact that low yield currencies typically appreciate during times of global financial stress and behave as safe havens. The main objective of this paper is to find out what the fundamentals of safe haven currencies are. We analyse a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131638
Engel and West (2005) model log exchange rates as discounted log fundamentals. For ‘commodity currencies', commodity prices are often viewed as key fundamentals, implying that commodity prices should, therefore, be predicted by exchange rates and not vice-versa - which would run counter to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937859
We study high-frequency exchange rates over 1993-2008. Based on the recent literature on volatility and liquidity risk premia, we use a factor model to capture linear and non-linear linkages between currencies, stock and bond markets as well as proxies for market volatility and liquidity. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012711410
We document that the currency denomination of the debt of developed country firms is strongly related to the … equivalent increase in the proportion of debt denominated in the corresponding currency. Consistent with the existence of fixed … costs of debt issuance, we find that the relationship between the currency denomination of debt and the geography of sales …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237151
We assess the properties of currency value strategies based on real exchange rates in a cross-sectional portfolio … setting. We find that real exchange rates predict currency excess returns, but in a way that is inconsistent with the notion … of currency value because a high valuation level forecasts a relative appreciation of the foreign currency going forward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032642
We assess the properties of currency value strategies based on real exchange rates in a cross-sectional portfolio … setting. We find that real exchange rates predict currency excess returns, but in a way that is inconsistent with the notion … of currency value because a high valuation level forecasts a relative appreciation of the foreign currency going forward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035463